• Home
  • Latest
  • Fortune 500
  • Finance
  • Tech
  • Leadership
  • Lifestyle
  • Rankings
  • Multimedia

Trendingnow

1

As Big Tech showers employees with perks to win the talent war, Nvidia built a nearly $5 trillion company by making people pay for their own lunch

2

MacKenzie Scott alone accounted for one-third of America's $19.2 billion in megagifts last year

3

The Supreme Court's birthright citizenship ruling hands the U.S. economy a $7.7 trillion win

1

As Big Tech showers employees with perks to win the talent war, Nvidia built a nearly $5 trillion company by making people pay for their own lunch

2

MacKenzie Scott alone accounted for one-third of America's $19.2 billion in megagifts last year

3

The Supreme Court's birthright citizenship ruling hands the U.S. economy a $7.7 trillion win
CommentaryIndia

Why India’s Central Banker Is Really Leaving

By
Mihir Kapadia
Mihir Kapadia
Down Arrow Button Icon
By
Mihir Kapadia
Mihir Kapadia
Down Arrow Button Icon
July 13, 2016, 7:00 PM ET
RBI Governor Rajan attends a news conference after their bimonthly monetary policy review in Mumbai
Reserve Bank of India (RBI) Governor Raghuram Rajan attends a news conference after their bimonthly monetary policy review in Mumbai, India, June 7, 2016. REUTERS/Danish Siddiqui/File Photo - RTSGH16Danish Siddiqui — Reuters
Add Fortune on Google for similar content.

Mihir Kapadia is CEO of Sun Global Investments, a London-based advisory firm.

Indian Central Bank Gov. Raghuram Rajan’s recent announcement that he would step down when his term ends in September has unnerved investors around the world. Rajan was widely credited for keeping India’s economy on a stable path; investors worldwide embraced his hawkish policies and greater push for banking reforms.

Judging by the way markets have responded to his exit last month, claims that India will suffer without Rajan is overdone if we look back at the response of Alan Greenspan’s departure from the U.S. Federal Reserve in 2006. During the early years of his 20 years as Fed chairman, Greenspan was just as revered. Both Rajan and Greenspan inherited weak economies; their policies — and those of the government’s — brought a huge improvement to economic conditions. The ex-Fed Chairman lost his halo in 2008 when the U.S. economy fell into a financial crisis, and he had to bear the burden of his policies.

By comparison, Rajan’s performance didn’t appear to please the government under Prime Minister Narendra Modi, as officials and citizens grew frustrated with the lack of credit growth amid a slow growing economy. And while Rajan’s independent views echoed the views of other country’s central banks, they were sometimes accompanied by stern warnings that often infuriated the political elite. Rajan clashed with Modi’s government over interest rates; the governor preferred higher rates to guard against inflation while the government pushed for lower rates to stimulate growth.

So to suggest India will suffer without Rajan has very limited merit. It will be the policies of the government and future governors that will determine whether India finally achieves what it has been dreaming of in recent times: the coveted status of an economic superpower.

Despite frictions between Rajan and Modi’s government, officials had often lauded Rajan for his stewardship at the central bank. Indeed, his exit has come not only as a surprise, but an alarm for many investors. Realistically, as Rajan has suggested, the office of the governor is much bigger than an individual personality. Unlike its neighbors, India has been lauded for its independent institutions where its democracy — the world’s largest — has thrived in a region vulnerable to dynastic politics or authoritarian regimes.

Rajan has been influential. One of his most memorable moves came in October 2013 when he encouraged foreign investments into India at a time when the previous government did little amid various charges of scams and misrule. Rajan brought credibility back to a country that had squandered all its prospects and had gone from one of the world’s best growth-oriented economies to a sick one. If one was to look at his legacy, it would be adding credibility to India’s central bank as an institution the currency will continue to run on its own merit as it has for several decades, albeit with many of the improvements introduced under Rajan.

Under Modi, a lot has changed in India. Even though critics argue that the economic reforms he has promised have been slow to progress, the country thus far has not witnessed any of the corruption scams and inertia in decision-making seen with the previous government. Modi’s government has also not been averse to shaking up many of the unnecessary practices and laws that had burdened the country during the previous regime. They have introduced several new laws to support banks in recovering their dues, whilst simultaneously introducing new bankruptcy laws that will smoothen the procedures.

The government has prided itself on its quick policy making and there has been something of a patriotic zeal in their chest-beating over results – both delivered and hoped for. This is where Rajan has stumbled. His politically incorrect narrative infuriated several politicians who see the new government’s achievements being under-appreciated by both the governor and the world at large. They must certainly not like their successes being attributed solely to Rajan’s tenure as the governor.

Nonetheless, Rajan’s popularity can’t be dismissed. Announcement of his exit came amid the government’s sweeping efforts to reform foreign direct investments. There has been a dramatic FDI overhaul across no fewer than nine key sectors — a move that has surprised some, as government reforms typically take much longer to implement. The more cynical among us could perhaps suggest that the timing of India’s FDI reforms implies a certain desire by the government to deflect attention away from Rajan. However, the nature of the reforms, rather than the timing, is more interesting – they are seismic.

India was the largest foreign direct investment destination in the world last year in terms of investments announced, totaling some $63billion, and these further relaxations that Modi’s government has pushed through could help India consolidate its position. Consolidation is key at the moment, after all. India and its banks are currently lurching under the pressure of bad loans – admittedly, something that all developing markets seemingly must go through – and foreign direct investment is perhaps the only investment engine available to restart the growth cycle.

Corporate investment and exports have both slumped and foreign investment is seen as the solution – for pretty good reason. Modi’s government has been strong on business, strong on external diplomacy and, from the start, strong on opening India’s doors for foreign investment. FDI has brought success to Modi’s India, it would have been a real surprise if it wasn’t a focal point of his long-term plan for sustained economic success.

The flurry of relaxations in FDI is probably at least in part a product of Rajan leaving. However, the decision to relax norms in an attempt to make India the world’s most open economy for FDI is no knee-jerk reaction. Foreign direct investment has benefited the Indian economy massively in the two years since Modi swept into power, and he is now making sure that the positive sentiment between India and foreign investors outlives Rajan’s tenure at India’s central bank.

About the Author
By Mihir Kapadia
See full bioRight Arrow Button Icon
Add Fortune on Google for similar content.

Latest in Commentary

Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025

Most Popular

Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Fortune Secondary Logo
Rankings
  • 100 Best Companies
  • Fortune 500
  • Global 500
  • Fortune 500 Europe
  • Most Powerful Women
  • World's Most Admired Companies
  • See All Rankings
  • Lists Calendar
Sections
  • Finance
  • Fortune Crypto
  • Features
  • Leadership
  • Health
  • Commentary
  • Success
  • Retail
  • Mpw
  • Tech
  • Lifestyle
  • CEO Initiative
  • Asia
  • Politics
  • Conferences
  • Europe
  • Newsletters
  • Personal Finance
  • Environment
  • Magazine
  • Education
Customer Support
  • Frequently Asked Questions
  • Customer Service Portal
  • Privacy Policy
  • Terms Of Use
  • Single Issues For Purchase
  • International Print
Commercial Services
  • Advertising
  • Fortune Brand Studio
  • Fortune Analytics
  • Fortune Conferences
  • Business Development
  • Group Subscriptions
About Us
  • About Us
  • Press Center
  • Work At Fortune
  • Terms And Conditions
  • Site Map
  • About Us
  • Press Center
  • Work At Fortune
  • Terms And Conditions
  • Site Map
  • Facebook icon
  • Twitter icon
  • LinkedIn icon
  • Instagram icon
  • Pinterest icon

Latest in Commentary

elon
CommentaryChina
China has 400 private space companies. The West is barely paying attention
By Rainer ZitelmannJuly 2, 2026
2 hours ago
senate
CommentaryCongress
One rare bipartisan AI bill is moving through Congress. Here’s why it deserves to pass
By Neil Björkman and Betsy BrewerJuly 1, 2026
24 hours ago
I know how Gen Z can survive the ‘jobpocalypse’ because I built an AI company — in 2015
CommentaryCareers
I know how Gen Z can survive the ‘jobpocalypse’ because I built an AI company — in 2015
By Jeremy FainJuly 1, 2026
1 day ago
mr
Commentary250 Years of Innovation
America needs 3.8 million manufacturing workers. This CEO has a blueprint to find them
By Mark RayfieldJuly 1, 2026
1 day ago
usa
Commentary250 Years of Innovation
America at 250: why the Constitution was built to restrain government, not celebrate majority rule
By Steve H. HankeJuly 1, 2026
1 day ago
t
CommentaryMedia
Netflix could turn NBC into its biggest bet yet — and this time, the math actually works
By Jeffrey Sonnenfeld and Steven TianJune 30, 2026
2 days ago

Most Popular

As Big Tech showers employees with perks to win the talent war, Nvidia built a nearly $5 trillion company by making people pay for their own lunch
Big Tech
As Big Tech showers employees with perks to win the talent war, Nvidia built a nearly $5 trillion company by making people pay for their own lunch
By Marco Quiroz-GutierrezJuly 1, 2026
1 day ago
MacKenzie Scott alone accounted for one-third of America's $19.2 billion in megagifts last year
Success
MacKenzie Scott alone accounted for one-third of America's $19.2 billion in megagifts last year
By Sydney LakeJune 25, 2026
7 days ago
The Supreme Court's birthright citizenship ruling hands the U.S. economy a $7.7 trillion win
Newsletters
The Supreme Court's birthright citizenship ruling hands the U.S. economy a $7.7 trillion win
By Diane BradyJuly 1, 2026
1 day ago
Current price of oil as of July 1, 2026
Personal Finance
Current price of oil as of July 1, 2026
By Joseph HostetlerJuly 1, 2026
22 hours ago
Philanthropy leader at Warren Buffett and Bill Gates’ Giving Pledge says children of billionaires are pushing them to give their wealth away faster
Success
Philanthropy leader at Warren Buffett and Bill Gates’ Giving Pledge says children of billionaires are pushing them to give their wealth away faster
By Preston ForeJune 27, 2026
5 days ago
Elon Musk on MacKenzie Scott giving away $26 billion of her fortune: 'Sadly,' it makes the world a worse place
Success
Elon Musk on MacKenzie Scott giving away $26 billion of her fortune: 'Sadly,' it makes the world a worse place
By Sydney LakeJune 29, 2026
3 days ago

© 2026 Fortune Media IP Limited. All Rights Reserved. Use of this site constitutes acceptance of our Terms of Use and Privacy Policy | CA Notice at Collection and Privacy Notice | Do Not Sell/Share My Personal Information
FORTUNE is a trademark of Fortune Media IP Limited, registered in the U.S. and other countries. FORTUNE may receive compensation for some links to products and services on this website. Offers may be subject to change without notice.