• Home
  • Latest
  • Fortune 500
  • Finance
  • Tech
  • Leadership
  • Lifestyle
  • Rankings
  • Multimedia

Trendingnow

1

Egg companies made $1.22 billion in profit off a $6 carton — now they’re buying their way out of a price-fixing case with 53 million donated eggs

2

Even as Elon Musk calls philanthropy ‘very hard,’ everyday Americans gave a record $617 billion—despite feeling the squeeze over the cost of living

3

Meet the Zillennials: The luckiest micro-generation in the workforce, born between 1993 and 1998

1

Egg companies made $1.22 billion in profit off a $6 carton — now they’re buying their way out of a price-fixing case with 53 million donated eggs

2

Even as Elon Musk calls philanthropy ‘very hard,’ everyday Americans gave a record $617 billion—despite feeling the squeeze over the cost of living

3

Meet the Zillennials: The luckiest micro-generation in the workforce, born between 1993 and 1998
FinanceHousing

Booming Scranton, falling San Jose: The latest home price data for the nation’s 400 largest housing markets

By
Lance Lambert
Lance Lambert
Former Real Estate Editor
Down Arrow Button Icon
By
Lance Lambert
Lance Lambert
Former Real Estate Editor
Down Arrow Button Icon
April 15, 2023, 12:41 PM ET
Add Fortune on Google for similar content.

The home price correction is fizzling out—fast.

An updated analysis of Zillow Home Value Index data by Fortune (see chart below) finds that just 23% of the nation’s 200 largest housing markets saw a month-over-month home price decline in March. That share has swiftly declined over the past few months.

At the height of the housing correction in September 2022, 79% of the nation’s 200 largest housing markets saw a month-over-month home price decline. In October, 76% of those major markets saw a home price decline. In November and December, it was down to 64% and 67%, respectively. Then in January (when 47% of markets declined) and February (when 38% of markets declined) the correction slowed dramatically.

To better understand what’s happening in the U.S. housing market, Fortune built seven charts using the latest seasonally adjusted Zillow Home Value Index data. The index measures home values in the 35th to 65th percentile range (i.e. it looks at the middle of the market).

Let’s take a look at the updated data.

As mortgage rates spiked last year, the U.S. housing market saw new- and existing-home sales fall sharply while many markets—particularly Western housing markets—slipped into price correction mode.

However, heading into 2023, that free-fall in transactions has stopped while price corrections are waning.

What happened? The average 30-year fixed mortgage rate came down a bit, from 7.37% in early November to 6.50% as of Friday, just as we entered the seasonal spring period when housing demand increases. Additionally, some house price decreases, coupled with inventory remaining tight, has helped to stabilize the housing market in many parts of the country. Cue fewer home price cuts.

Zoomed out, it's clear that the U.S. housing market passed through some sort of price correction in the second half of 2022. However, it's already fizzling out much faster than the previous correction, which saw U.S. home prices fall 26% on a seasonally adjusted basis (and -27% on an unadjusted basis) between the peak in 2007 and the bottom in 2012.

This time around, U.S. home prices as measured by the seasonally adjusted Case-Shiller National Home Price Index are down 3% since the June 2022 peak. Without seasonal adjustment, U.S. home prices are down 5.1% from their peak.

Unlike the 2008 era crash, this time around we neither have a glut of inventory (the number of U.S. homes for sale in March 2023 was 49.5% below March 2020 levels) nor a subprime crisis. That said, housing affordability (or lack thereof) in 2023 is similar, on paper, to the height of the housing bubble.

On a seasonally adjusted basis, only 23% of the nation's largest regional housing markets posted a month-over-month home price decline in March. Almost all of those markets were in the West, Texas, or Florida—including a monthly 1.27% decline in San Jose.

Meanwhile, 76% of regional housing markets posted a month-over-month home price increase in March. That includes a 1.52% monthly jump in Scranton.

Simply put: Scranton is booming again, while San Jose is falling.

Through the first three months of 2023, the biggest home price drops were found in markets like Austin (down 3.1% since December), Boise (down another 2.8%), Las Vegas (down another 3%), Phoenix (down another 2.5%), and San Jose (down another 3.4%).

The biggest upticks through the first three months of 2023 occurred in places like Jackson, Tenn. (up 4.7% since December), Morristown, Tenn. (up 4.0%), and Scranton, Pa. (up 4.0%).

Among the nation's 400 largest housing markets tracked by Zillow, 182 are still below their 2022 peak price. Of those down markets, home prices in 38 markets fell over 5% from their respective 2022 peaks. That includes places like Reno (down 7.8% from its peak), Phoenix (down 7.49%), and Austin (down 9.54%).

Every market shaded "blue" in the chart above either remains at their all-time high or just set a new all-time high for home prices. (Among the nation's 400 largest housing markets tracked by Zillow, 218 are back to or just set an all-time high in March.)

Still, house prices remain up on a year-over-year basis in most housing markets. The few exceptions are mostly out West.

However, this year-over-year map will get redder over the coming months—even if prices don't fall further. The reason being: As hot months like March 2022 and April 2022 fall out of the 12-month window, more markets will go negative on a year-over-year basis. In fact, many housing analysts expect national home prices will be negative on a year-over-year basis once Case-Shiller publishes its April 2023 reading.

While home prices have fallen a bit in markets like Austin and Raleigh, home prices are still up substantially since the onset of the pandemic.

Between March 2020 and June 2022, the Pandemic Housing Boom saw U.S. home prices as measured by the seasonally adjusted Case-Shiller National Home Price Index skyrocket 41.1%. Since then, national home prices have deflated 3%. That reduces remaining Pandemic Housing Boom gains to 36.9%.

Even the markets experiencing sharp declines are still up big-time: Austin is up 43.4% since March 2020, while home prices in Raleigh are still up 44.4%.

Newsletter-Blue-Line-15

Want to stay updated on the housing market? Follow me on Twitter at @NewsLambert.

About the Author
By Lance LambertFormer Real Estate Editor
Twitter icon

Lance Lambert is a former Fortune editor who contributes to the Fortune Analytics newsletter.

See full bioRight Arrow Button Icon
Add Fortune on Google for similar content.

Latest in Finance

Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025

Most Popular

Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Fortune Secondary Logo
Rankings
  • 100 Best Companies
  • Fortune 500
  • Global 500
  • Fortune 500 Europe
  • Most Powerful Women
  • World's Most Admired Companies
  • See All Rankings
  • Lists Calendar
Sections
  • Finance
  • Fortune Crypto
  • Features
  • Leadership
  • Health
  • Commentary
  • Success
  • Retail
  • Mpw
  • Tech
  • Lifestyle
  • CEO Initiative
  • Asia
  • Politics
  • Conferences
  • Europe
  • Newsletters
  • Personal Finance
  • Environment
  • Magazine
  • Education
Customer Support
  • Frequently Asked Questions
  • Customer Service Portal
  • Privacy Policy
  • Terms Of Use
  • Single Issues For Purchase
  • International Print
Commercial Services
  • Advertising
  • Fortune Brand Studio
  • Fortune Analytics
  • Fortune Conferences
  • Business Development
  • Group Subscriptions
About Us
  • About Us
  • Press Center
  • Work At Fortune
  • Terms And Conditions
  • Site Map
  • About Us
  • Press Center
  • Work At Fortune
  • Terms And Conditions
  • Site Map
  • Facebook icon
  • Twitter icon
  • LinkedIn icon
  • Instagram icon
  • Pinterest icon

Latest in Finance

U.S. debt is a looming crisis today but was once its own revolutionary masterstroke that helped launch a global financial superpower
EconomyDebt
U.S. debt is a looming crisis today but was once its own revolutionary masterstroke that helped launch a global financial superpower
By Jason MaJuly 4, 2026
3 hours ago
Trump Accounts are now available for kids. Here’s where the money will be invested in the stock market—in line with Warren Buffett’s advice
InvestingStock
Trump Accounts are now available for kids. Here’s where the money will be invested in the stock market—in line with Warren Buffett’s advice
By Jason MaJuly 4, 2026
5 hours ago
Iran’s envoy to China says Beijing to get Hormuz concessions
EnergyOil
Iran’s envoy to China says Beijing to get Hormuz concessions
By BloombergJuly 4, 2026
7 hours ago
Ukrainian drones target more Russian oil infrastructure as fuel crisis adds political pressure on Putin, who shrugs off attacks as ‘not critical’
EnergyUkraine invasion
Ukrainian drones target more Russian oil infrastructure as fuel crisis adds political pressure on Putin, who shrugs off attacks as ‘not critical’
By The Associated PressJuly 4, 2026
7 hours ago
Costco CEO promises the $1.50 hot dog isn’t going away: ‘The price will not change as long as I’m around’
RetailCostco
Costco CEO promises the $1.50 hot dog isn’t going away: ‘The price will not change as long as I’m around’
By Sydney LakeJuly 4, 2026
9 hours ago
Older worker sad at laptop
SuccessGen X
A quarter of young baby boomers and Gen Xers who’ve been laid off in the last decade are still unemployed—and 11% have taken pay cuts to work
By Emma BurleighJuly 4, 2026
9 hours ago

Most Popular

Egg companies made $1.22 billion in profit off a $6 carton — now they’re buying their way out of a price-fixing case with 53 million donated eggs
Law
Egg companies made $1.22 billion in profit off a $6 carton — now they’re buying their way out of a price-fixing case with 53 million donated eggs
By Wyatte Grantham-Philips and The Associated PressJuly 2, 2026
2 days ago
Even as Elon Musk calls philanthropy ‘very hard,’ everyday Americans gave a record $617 billion—despite feeling the squeeze over the cost of living
Success
Even as Elon Musk calls philanthropy ‘very hard,’ everyday Americans gave a record $617 billion—despite feeling the squeeze over the cost of living
By Preston ForeJuly 4, 2026
15 hours ago
Meet the Zillennials: The luckiest micro-generation in the workforce, born between 1993 and 1998
AI
Meet the Zillennials: The luckiest micro-generation in the workforce, born between 1993 and 1998
By Nick LichtenbergJuly 3, 2026
2 days ago
Economists have found an answer to slowing cognitive decline: Avoid retiring early, study finds
Economy
Economists have found an answer to slowing cognitive decline: Avoid retiring early, study finds
By Sasha RogelbergJuly 2, 2026
2 days ago
$25 billion CEO says one-hour interviews are a waste of time—he puts candidates through six hours of tests and wants them to order wine at lunch
Success
$25 billion CEO says one-hour interviews are a waste of time—he puts candidates through six hours of tests and wants them to order wine at lunch
By Orianna Rosa RoyleJuly 3, 2026
2 days ago
Philanthropy leader at Warren Buffett and Bill Gates’ Giving Pledge says children of billionaires are pushing them to give their wealth away faster
Success
Philanthropy leader at Warren Buffett and Bill Gates’ Giving Pledge says children of billionaires are pushing them to give their wealth away faster
By Preston ForeJune 27, 2026
7 days ago

© 2026 Fortune Media IP Limited. All Rights Reserved. Use of this site constitutes acceptance of our Terms of Use and Privacy Policy | CA Notice at Collection and Privacy Notice | Do Not Sell/Share My Personal Information
FORTUNE is a trademark of Fortune Media IP Limited, registered in the U.S. and other countries. FORTUNE may receive compensation for some links to products and services on this website. Offers may be subject to change without notice.