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Microsoft’s Copilot+ push could be a pivotal moment in the story of the PC

By
David Meyer
David Meyer
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By
David Meyer
David Meyer
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May 21, 2024, 11:03 AM ET
Updated May 21, 2024, 11:03 AM ET
HP OmniBook X AI PC
The HP OmniBook X AI PC, one of the first Copilot+ PC featuring Qualcomm's Snapdragon X Elite chipset.Courtesy of HP

Last October, Qualcomm announced a new Arm-based chipset for laptops, the Snapdragon X Elite, which it claimed would do two things: dethrone Apple’s M-series chips as the best choice for people wanting both significant power and battery life; and make on-device generative AI a mainstream reality in the desktop world.

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At the time, the new Snapdragon chipset looked promising, but it was only yesterday that the world got to see how big this push will be, with Microsoft unveiling new “Copilot+” laptops powered by the Qualcomm product. Lenovo, Samsung, Dell, HP, Acer, and Asus will introduce their takes on the Copilot+ PC around a month from now, all featuring either the X Elite or the slightly less powerful X Plus, which supposedly has the same AI performance as its sibling.

“I won’t be fully convinced until I’ve spent enough time with one of these new Copilot+ PCs, but everything Microsoft showed me around performance and battery life looks lightyears ahead of the Arm-powered Windows laptops that existed before today,” The Verge’s Tom Warren cautiously enthused after a Microsoft briefing. “If everything Microsoft showed me holds up in real-world testing, this is a monumental moment for Windows laptops—with just as big an impact as a new release of Windows itself.”

Warren is not wrong—this really could be a pivotal point in the PC story.

If the Copilot+ hardware push works as planned, the most obvious loser would be Apple, whose M-series chips have in recent years provided a huge selling point for MacBooks. Windows PCs being able to catch up on the power-plus-longevity front would be a huge deal for Microsoft. And if they also prove more capable at handling on-device generative AI, that would be yet another way in which Apple is struggling to keep up in the AI field. (Keeping AI on-device has privacy benefits, and is just plain faster than having to access the cloud when it comes to simple tasks like translation and summarization.)

Another big loser in this scenario is Intel, which increasingly looks like a legacy company entering its twilight years. This isn’t the first time that Intel’s x86 processor technology has been threatened by Arm’s rival technology in the Windows PC space, but Microsoft’s support for Windows on Arm has always seemed half-hearted, with developers left unsure of how much they should commit to the concept.

That doesn’t seem to be the case anymore, with Microsoft enthusiastically touting buy-in from developers like Adobe and BlackMagic Design, whose products are wildly popular with the MacBook-toting creative crowd. “Come on over to Windows; it’s finally running on the kind of chip that suits your needs,” Microsoft seems to be saying.

As for Qualcomm, the venerable chipmaker has a massive but brief window of opportunity here, as it has an exclusivity deal with Microsoft that makes it the sole provider of Arm-based processors for Windows PC, but only until the end of this year. So while its latest Snapdragon chipsets are ubiquitous in this first wave of Arm-based Copilot+ PCs, that probably won’t remain the case in future waves, with the likes of Nvidia and AMD reportedly preparing to enter the fray. Qualcomm will definitely be hoping that the first wave catches the public’s imagination, showing that its Snapdragon processors—which have mostly been deployed in cheaper and less powerful laptops until now—can shine on high-end devices.

So in short, there’s a lot riding on this moment for a lot of companies. More news below.

David Meyer

Want to send thoughts or suggestions to Data Sheet? Drop a line here.

NEWSWORTHY

ASML and TSMC’s Taiwan safeguard. Top chipmaker TSMC and top chipmaking equipment maker ASML can reportedly disable their factory machines in Taiwan if China invades the island. According to Bloomberg, ASML and its biggest client “can remotely force a shut-off which would act as a kill switch,” thus rendering the chipmaking machines useless to Beijing. Taiwan, which China sees as a renegade province, churns out the majority of the world’s advanced semiconductors.

Google’s public sector pitch. Last month, the U.S. government’s Cyber Safety Review Board issued a scathing report on Microsoft’s “significant security failures and systematic weaknesses,” after a (still ongoing) Russian attack on its corporate email system came to light. Yesterday, Google published a blog post arguing that the government should diversify its IT vendors—strongly implying that Google should get more government business—and generally slamming Microsoft’s enterprise security approach.

AI price war. China’s Alibaba has ignited an AI price war by slashing the cost of using its Tongyi Qwen large language models. As Reuters reports, local rival Baidu immediately responded by saying enterprise users could tap into its Ernie Speed and Ernie Lite models for free. All this could further diminish profit margins for the companies, which have already been engaging in a cloud-computing price war.

ON OUR FEED

“Dr Wright presents himself as an extremely clever person. However, in my judgment, he is not nearly as clever as he thinks he is. In both his written evidence and in days of oral evidence under cross-examination, I am entirely satisfied that Dr Wright lied to the Court extensively and repeatedly… All his lies and forged documents were in support of his biggest lie: his claim to be Satoshi Nakamoto.”

—British High Court Judge James Mellor has released his full judgment in the case of Craig Wright, who is definitely not the inventor of Bitcoin, as he claimed to be. Bitcoin developers had sued Wright for his repeated efforts to claim intellectual property rights over the cryptocurrency.

IN CASE YOU MISSED IT

Exclusive: OpenAI promised 20% of its computing power to combat the most dangerous kind of AI—but never delivered, sources say, by Jeremy Kahn

Scarlett Johansson said she was forced to hire legal counsel to deal with Sam Altman and OpenAI, by Amanda Gerut

Chinese, Iranian, and Russian gangs are attacking U.S. drinking water and officials are alarmed, by the Associated Press

Microsoft’s new AI-enabled laptops will have a ‘photographic memory’ of your virtual activity, by the Associated Press

Elon Musk, NPR, and a Signal smear campaign, by Jeff John Roberts

Top-ranked analyst declares JPMorgan ‘the Nvidia of banking’ after it spends $17 billion on tech in a single year, by Amanda Gerut

BEFORE YOU GO

Threads oversight. Meta’s Oversight Board, which makes content-moderation recommendations to the Facebook and Instagram parent, and occasionally overturns its decisions in specific cases, is now doing its thing with Meta’s Insta-linked Threads. Its first Threads case involves the moderation of political content, specifically some arguably violent comments made in a post about Japanese Prime Minister Fumio Kishida. As TechCrunch notes, the move gives Threads a very different style of moderation oversight to that on rival platforms like X, Mastodon, and Bluesky.

This is the web version of Fortune Tech, a daily newsletter breaking down the biggest players and stories shaping the future. Sign up to get it delivered free to your inbox.
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