• Home
  • Latest
  • Fortune 500
  • Finance
  • Tech
  • Leadership
  • Lifestyle
  • Rankings
  • Multimedia

Trendingnow

1

As Big Tech showers employees with perks to win the talent war, Nvidia built a nearly $5 trillion company by making people pay for their own lunch

2

MacKenzie Scott alone accounted for one-third of America's $19.2 billion in megagifts last year

3

Today, Emily Blunt is worth $80 million thanks to her Hollywood career—but she actually wanted to be a UN Spanish translator on $80K

1

As Big Tech showers employees with perks to win the talent war, Nvidia built a nearly $5 trillion company by making people pay for their own lunch

2

MacKenzie Scott alone accounted for one-third of America's $19.2 billion in megagifts last year

3

Today, Emily Blunt is worth $80 million thanks to her Hollywood career—but she actually wanted to be a UN Spanish translator on $80K
FinanceEconomy

Bank of America’s guide on how to handle awkward economy and politics chat over Thanksgiving dinner 

Eleanor Pringle
By
Eleanor Pringle
Eleanor Pringle
Senior Reporter, Economics and Markets
Down Arrow Button Icon
Eleanor Pringle
By
Eleanor Pringle
Eleanor Pringle
Senior Reporter, Economics and Markets
Down Arrow Button Icon
November 28, 2024, 5:30 AM ET
Two people have an awkward interaction over a festive meal
Thanksgiving might present some awkward questions about economic. Bank of America has got you covered. urbazon - Getty Images
Add Fortune on Google for similar content.

We’ve all been there. A relative who’s not quite up-to-speed with the latest economic news starts asking questions (or making suggestions) during Thanksgiving dinner, and things quickly get awkward.

But Bank of America’s got you covered.

The nation’s second-largest bank has compiled a how-to guide for chatting inflation, Trump policies and the housing market.

Analysts at Aditya Bhave, Stephen Juneau, Shruti Mishra and Jeseo Park compiled a list of FAQs and answers in a note seen by Fortune, adding: “For each question, we suggest both a short response—in case it’s getting late—and a more detailed one if you’re still waiting on dessert.”

Topic No. 1: Grocery prices

Those paying the food bill for Thanksgiving dinner this year may not trust economists who say inflation is coming down.

For a quick response to the question, Bank of America advises simply outlining what inflation means: “the increase in prices over the last year.” Therefore, “prices have increased a lot since 2019, but not much over the last year.”

If that doesn’t suffice, the analysts suggest both a definition of inflation and a quick trip down memory lane—furnished with a couple of data points.

Their advised response is: “Inflation took off in 2021 because of global supply chain disruptions and strong demand, as consumers were flush with cash from pandemic-related fiscal stimulus. Then inflation took another leg higher in 2022 because of the impact of the Russia-Ukraine war on food and energy prices.

“Inflation has slowed since mid-2022 … and they are generally still increasing, but at a much slower pace. For example, food prices are up just 1.2% in the last 12 months. But they have increased by 25% over the last five years.

“Although most of the surge happened in 2021 and 2022, households are still feeling the impact. That is why the idea of ‘lower inflation’ doesn’t necessarily resonate with many folks.”

Topic No. 2: Prices going back down

A reasonable follow-up question for consumers might be if grocery prices, for example, will ever return to their pre-pandemic figures.

The analysts suggest a simple “Probably never, for most items. And that’s probably for the better,” as a short response.

A quick lesson in deflation might be required for a longer answer, with the team suggesting a response of: “In order to get prices back to 2019 levels, we would need an extended period of deep deflation.

“Lower prices might seem appealing at first blush, but deflation is usually a sign of economic malaise that is very hard to break out of. Japan had several bouts of deflation from 1995 through the start of the pandemic. During those 25 years, the Japanese economy grew at an annualized rate of 0.8%, while the US grew at 2.5%. A vibrant economy should have positive (but low) inflation, reflecting growth in consumer demand.

“That said, prices of certain items that overshot substantially during the pandemic could fall moderately in the near term … although prices of food as a whole are still increasing, dairy prices are down slightly from their peak. On that note, could you please pass me the whipped cream?”

Topic No.3: Trump policies

While it’s generally advised not to discuss politics at the dinner table, the recent U.S. election and its impact on the economy might mean the usually taboo topic cannot be overlooked.

On what to expect from a second Trump administration, BofA advised a brief overview: “You should expect business-friendly tax policy, higher tariffs, broad deregulation, and immigration restrictions. But your individual taxes might not go down.”

Delving a little deeper (if the subject hasn’t been dropped), the quartet penned an answer of: “There is still a lot of uncertainty around the incoming administration’s policy outlook. The Republican party will probably extend the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act(TCJA), most of which was due to sunset at the end of next year.

“There has also been some talk of eliminating taxes on tips and Social Security income, but these proposals are unlikely to make it into the final bill, as are any other meaningful cuts to personal income taxes. They are just too expensive from a budget standpoint.

On trade: “You should expect tariffs on U.S. goods imports from China to increase significantly in 2025-26. Smaller increases for other countries are also likely, though Mexico and Canada will probably end up avoiding tariffs. The extent to which this is inflationary will partly depend on how exchange rates respond to the tariffs.”

For those wondering about their portfolio, BofA added: “The Trump team has already made it clear that there will be sweeping deregulation, which is probably the main reason stocks responded so positively to the election results. Beneficiaries include the financial and energy sectors.

“And on immigration, significant tightening in the flow of migrants appears to be more likely than large changes to the migrant population that is already in the U.S.”

Topic No. 4: Deficit

Another issue rising to the public’s agenda is the national debt, which has now reached more than $36 trillion.

For those questioning why and how the government can afford to add $2 trillion a year to its deficit, BofA had a straightforward response: “Rising interest costs and entitlement spending are the major drivers of the fiscal deficit.”

For a more rounded answer, the analysts suggest providing context around both historical debts and service payments as a proportion to GDP: “Deficits aren’t a new phenomenon. Since 1946, the U.S. Federal Government has recorded a deficit in all but 12 years.

“What is new, however, is the size of the deficit given the health of the economy. At 6.4% in FY 2024, the deficit-to-GDP ratio is 1.8pp above FY 2019 levels and more than double the historical average. The major reason for this is higher interest rates driving up interest costs.

“Another reason for our deficit problem is that mandatory outlays such as Social Security, Medicare and Medicaid rise with inflation … Absent changes to entitlements, spending will continue to grow due to an aging population and rising healthcare costs. That said, interest is likely to continue to be the bigger boogeyman when it comes to the deficit.”

Topic No. 5: Housing

Of course, family dinners also present opportunities for catching up on life’s milestones: careers, relationships, friendships, and finances.

A new administration and interest rate environment might have some wondering whether a seemingly unattainable aim might be coming closer to being achieved: buying a house.

On questions about affordability and whether mortgage rates will come down, BofA suggested a response of: “Mortgage rates should decrease a little next year, but probably not too far below 6%. Housing affordability is likely to remain a problem.”

If asked to explain the gloomy outlook, they said one could outline the past year to hint about the future of the market.

A more comprehensive answer about the future of the property sector might be: “2024 was a challenging year for many homebuyers. Mortgage rates decreased a little this year, but not nearly as much as anticipated. Next year, they could drop to around 6%. That isn’t a big decline, but it could still support sales given resilient demand for housing.

“However, with most homeowners locked into low fixed-rate mortgages, it remains to be seen how elastic the housing market will be to slightly lower rates.

“The lock-in effect is also constraining the supply of existing homes. This, along with solid demand, has kept home prices very elevated. As a result, housing affordability is a challenge for most prospective buyers.”

About the Author
Eleanor Pringle
By Eleanor PringleSenior Reporter, Economics and Markets
LinkedIn icon

Eleanor Pringle is an award-winning senior reporter at Fortune covering news, the economy, and personal finance. Eleanor previously worked as a business correspondent and news editor in regional news in the U.K. She completed her journalism training with the Press Association after earning a degree from the University of East Anglia.

See full bioRight Arrow Button Icon
Add Fortune on Google for similar content.

Latest in Finance

Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025

Most Popular

Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Fortune Secondary Logo
Rankings
  • 100 Best Companies
  • Fortune 500
  • Global 500
  • Fortune 500 Europe
  • Most Powerful Women
  • World's Most Admired Companies
  • See All Rankings
  • Lists Calendar
Sections
  • Finance
  • Fortune Crypto
  • Features
  • Leadership
  • Health
  • Commentary
  • Success
  • Retail
  • Mpw
  • Tech
  • Lifestyle
  • CEO Initiative
  • Asia
  • Politics
  • Conferences
  • Europe
  • Newsletters
  • Personal Finance
  • Environment
  • Magazine
  • Education
Customer Support
  • Frequently Asked Questions
  • Customer Service Portal
  • Privacy Policy
  • Terms Of Use
  • Single Issues For Purchase
  • International Print
Commercial Services
  • Advertising
  • Fortune Brand Studio
  • Fortune Analytics
  • Fortune Conferences
  • Business Development
  • Group Subscriptions
About Us
  • About Us
  • Press Center
  • Work At Fortune
  • Terms And Conditions
  • Site Map
  • About Us
  • Press Center
  • Work At Fortune
  • Terms And Conditions
  • Site Map
  • Facebook icon
  • Twitter icon
  • LinkedIn icon
  • Instagram icon
  • Pinterest icon

Latest in Finance

Best private student loans for medical school
Personal Financestudent loans and debt
Best private student loans for medical school
By Joseph HostetlerJuly 2, 2026
5 hours ago
Michael Burry just shorted Caterpillar’s 172% AI rally. One analyst says his bet won’t even matter
Investingstock prices
Michael Burry just shorted Caterpillar’s 172% AI rally. One analyst says his bet won’t even matter
By Marco Quiroz-GutierrezJuly 2, 2026
6 hours ago
U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent
EconomyDebt
AI’s $2.2 trillion deficit fix is already half fake, economists say
By Tristan BoveJuly 2, 2026
8 hours ago
s
Personal FinanceSports
The sports economy is unaffordable at the bar, let alone the stadium
By Catherina GioinoJuly 2, 2026
8 hours ago
sb
North AmericaU.S. Department of the Treasury
Scott Bessent goes after the top Mexican cartel’s new billion-dollar business: gas stations
By Fatima Hussein and The Associated PressJuly 2, 2026
8 hours ago
eggs
LawAntitrust
Egg companies made $1.22 billion in profit off a $6 carton — now they’re buying their way out of a price-fixing case with 53 million donated eggs
By Wyatte Grantham-Philips and The Associated PressJuly 2, 2026
8 hours ago

Most Popular

As Big Tech showers employees with perks to win the talent war, Nvidia built a nearly $5 trillion company by making people pay for their own lunch
Big Tech
As Big Tech showers employees with perks to win the talent war, Nvidia built a nearly $5 trillion company by making people pay for their own lunch
By Marco Quiroz-GutierrezJuly 1, 2026
2 days ago
MacKenzie Scott alone accounted for one-third of America's $19.2 billion in megagifts last year
Success
MacKenzie Scott alone accounted for one-third of America's $19.2 billion in megagifts last year
By Sydney LakeJune 25, 2026
8 days ago
Today, Emily Blunt is worth $80 million thanks to her Hollywood career—but she actually wanted to be a UN Spanish translator on $80K
Success
Today, Emily Blunt is worth $80 million thanks to her Hollywood career—but she actually wanted to be a UN Spanish translator on $80K
By Orianna Rosa RoyleJuly 2, 2026
20 hours ago
Mark Zuckerberg feeds his cows macadamia nuts and beer to create the 'highest-quality beef in the world' on his $300 million estate in Hawaii
Success
Mark Zuckerberg feeds his cows macadamia nuts and beer to create the 'highest-quality beef in the world' on his $300 million estate in Hawaii
By Sasha RogelbergJuly 2, 2026
10 hours ago
Current price of oil as of July 1, 2026
Personal Finance
Current price of oil as of July 1, 2026
By Joseph HostetlerJuly 1, 2026
2 days ago
Americans are escaping the U.S. for New Zealand where house prices have hit a new low—but only wealthy Americans with $3 million spare can invest
Success
Americans are escaping the U.S. for New Zealand where house prices have hit a new low—but only wealthy Americans with $3 million spare can invest
By Emma BurleighJuly 2, 2026
11 hours ago

© 2026 Fortune Media IP Limited. All Rights Reserved. Use of this site constitutes acceptance of our Terms of Use and Privacy Policy | CA Notice at Collection and Privacy Notice | Do Not Sell/Share My Personal Information
FORTUNE is a trademark of Fortune Media IP Limited, registered in the U.S. and other countries. FORTUNE may receive compensation for some links to products and services on this website. Offers may be subject to change without notice.