“You got to win the midterms,” Trump said Tuesday at a retreat for the party’s House caucus in Washington. “They’ll find a reason to impeach me. I’ll get impeached.”

Trump offered a familiar blueprint for majority parties, which historically have lost seats in off-year elections: blaming their troubles on messaging problems and insisting that voters just aren’t seeing their achievements.

Trump predicted the GOP would pull off an “epic” victory and defy those trends. Yet polls showing Americans’ dissatisfaction with his leadership and the state of the economy bode poorly for Republicans’ chances of keeping control of Congress.

Trump at times expressed exasperation with voters who have given him low marks on his stewardship of the country.

“I wish you could explain to me what the hell’s going on with the mind of the public, because we have the right policy,” he said.

Trump touted his migrant crackdown, sweeping tariffs, efforts to lower drug costs and his landmark tax-and-spending bill. He also offered pointed advice to his party’s lawmakers over their message, urging them to aggressively tout his policy priorities and overhaul the nation’s health insurance system.

“You have so much ammunition, all you have to do is sell it,” Trump said. “You want to turn this thing? You work on favored nations, you work on borders, you work on all of the things that we talked about, but now you take the health care issue away from them.” 

As for his tax law, Trump said “there are so many goodies” that “you have to get the word out.”

Pivotal Year

Trump’s pep talk comes at the start of a pivotal year for the president, with elections that will determine control of both the House and Senate.

Trump’s first year back in office saw him flex his executive powers, circumventing Congress to achieve a number of his policy goals. 

Where Trump has sought to enlist lawmakers, he has faced little resistance from Republicans. Still, a loss of either chamber would dramatically undercut the president’s ability to further his agenda in the second half of his term. Major legislation already faces a tougher path this year thanks to GOP divisions and their slim majority.

It would also open him up to fresh investigations from a Democrat-run Congress. During his first term, Trump was impeached twice: once over his pressure campaign on Ukraine to probe Democratic rival Joe Biden and then again for his role in the Jan. 6, 2021 attack on the US Capitol.

Despite Trump’s exhortations to lawmakers, surveys indicate the president himself is among his party’s biggest albatrosses. Approval of his job performance stood at 36% in a year-end Gallup poll. The overall figure was just barely above his personal low of 34% in January 2021. The high cost of living, an issue Trump ran on in 2024, remains at the top of voters’ minds.

Republicans in Congress start the year facing immediate challenges, including averting a shutdown after Jan. 30 when funds for much of the federal government run out. They’re also grappling with questions about Trump’s capture of Venezuelan leader Nicolas Maduro in a brazen military raid over the weekend, as well as a looming vote on Obamacare subsidies only days before open enrollment is set to close. 

Health-Care Fight

Trump highlighted the fight over health coverage, reiterating his opposition to extending those subsidies and insisting to his party’s lawmakers that his stance would be embraced by voters.

“I came out with a statement, let the money go not to the big fat cats in the insurance companies,” Trump said. “Let the money go directly to the people where they can buy their own health care.”

House Democrats are planning to force a vote on reviving expired subsidies under the health-care law. Trump’s proposal to deliver that money directly to consumers to make their own health coverage choices has raised questions about how such an arrangement would work and whether it would deliver better outcomes. 

Some GOP lawmakers have questioned whether the party is taking advantage of their hold on both chambers to move aggressively enough to pass their legislative priorities. Others fret that the party has not done enough to promote their wins, such as the landmark tax-and-spending package passed last summer.

GOP Challenges

Trump’s One Big Beautiful Bill extended tax cuts passed during his first term along with other new measures the president had promised on the 2024 campaign trail, including exempting taxes on tips and overtime pay. The White House has said Americans will see its benefits in the coming year, and urged voters to give the administration more time to demonstrate that its economic policies are working.

Republicans have struggled to get that message to break through with voters. Democrats pulled off a series of significant victories in off-year 2024 elections in which worries about affordability were front and center, with voters expressing anxiety over high costs for groceries and housing and the pace of wage growth.

Democrats have pointed the finger at Trump’s sweeping tariff agenda, the end of expanded health-care subsidies and growing energy demands from the artificial intelligence sector the president has sought to boost as contributing to the rise in consumer costs. Inflation, has eased from a four-decade high seen in 2022, but prices overall continued to climb last year.

Intraparty tensions among Republicans have been evident, with a number of prominent lawmakers announcing plans to retire. That includes Representatives Elise Stefanik of New York and Marjorie Taylor Greene of Georgia, whose final day in office was Monday. While Stefanik has been a staunch Trump loyalist, Greene is a onetime ally who transformed into one of his sharpest GOP critics, splitting with the president over the administration’s handling of files pertaining to the late, disgraced sex offender Jeffrey Epstein and his focus on foreign policy.