• Home
  • Latest
  • Fortune 500
  • Finance
  • Tech
  • Leadership
  • Lifestyle
  • Rankings
  • Multimedia

Exclusive

An hour in the Oval Office with President Trump Fortune Editor-in-Chief: Alyson Shontell sat down with President Trump in the Oval Office for an hour. Tariffs, Intel, AI, Boeing, Iran—and the question every CEO eventually has to answer: who's next?

An hour in the Oval Office with President Trump Fortune Editor-in-Chief: Alyson Shontell sat down with President Trump in the Oval Office for an hour. Tariffs, Intel, AI, Boeing, Iran—and the question every CEO eventually has to answer: who's next?

An hour in the Oval Office with President Trump Fortune Editor-in-Chief: Alyson Shontell sat down with President Trump in the Oval Office for an hour. Tariffs, Intel, AI, Boeing, Iran—and the question every CEO eventually has to answer: who's next?

An hour in the Oval Office with President Trump Fortune Editor-in-Chief: Alyson Shontell sat down with President Trump in the Oval Office for an hour. Tariffs, Intel, AI, Boeing, Iran—and the question every CEO eventually has to answer: who's next?

An hour in the Oval Office with President Trump Fortune Editor-in-Chief: Alyson Shontell sat down with President Trump in the Oval Office for an hour. Tariffs, Intel, AI, Boeing, Iran—and the question every CEO eventually has to answer: who's next?

An hour in the Oval Office with President Trump Fortune Editor-in-Chief: Alyson Shontell sat down with President Trump in the Oval Office for an hour. Tariffs, Intel, AI, Boeing, Iran—and the question every CEO eventually has to answer: who's next?

An hour in the Oval Office with President Trump Fortune Editor-in-Chief: Alyson Shontell sat down with President Trump in the Oval Office for an hour. Tariffs, Intel, AI, Boeing, Iran—and the question every CEO eventually has to answer: who's next?

An hour in the Oval Office with President Trump Fortune Editor-in-Chief: Alyson Shontell sat down with President Trump in the Oval Office for an hour. Tariffs, Intel, AI, Boeing, Iran—and the question every CEO eventually has to answer: who's next?

An hour in the Oval Office with President Trump Fortune Editor-in-Chief: Alyson Shontell sat down with President Trump in the Oval Office for an hour. Tariffs, Intel, AI, Boeing, Iran—and the question every CEO eventually has to answer: who's next?

An hour in the Oval Office with President Trump Fortune Editor-in-Chief: Alyson Shontell sat down with President Trump in the Oval Office for an hour. Tariffs, Intel, AI, Boeing, Iran—and the question every CEO eventually has to answer: who's next?

InvestingMarkets

Morgan Stanley hails rare ‘reindustrialization renaissance’ of AI economy—but it’s better for computers than humans

Nick Lichtenberg
By
Nick Lichtenberg
Nick Lichtenberg
Business Editor
Down Arrow Button Icon
Nick Lichtenberg
By
Nick Lichtenberg
Nick Lichtenberg
Business Editor
Down Arrow Button Icon
February 23, 2026, 12:03 PM ET
broker
Traders on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange, Feb. 18, 2026.ANGELA WEISS—AFP/Getty Images

The artificial intelligence revolution is rewriting the rules of the American economy, but rather than ushering in a golden age of consumer prosperity, it is sparking a massive, resource-heavy infrastructure boom that could leave the everyday worker behind.

Recommended Video

According to a newly released strategic report from Morgan Stanley Wealth Management, the market has entered a “gen-AI-capex-powered” era that represents a rare shift away from consumption-led growth and toward an investment-led “reindustrialization renaissance.” The catch is it’s very unlike previous technological revolutions—such as the internet, personal computers, or mobile devices.

The current generative AI wave is “not obviously consumer-centric yet,” according to Lisa Shalett, chief investment officer for Morgan Stanley Wealth Management. Instead, the build-out is deeply rooted in the physical world to support massive computing needs.

Shalett’s team noted data-center-related investment already accounted for a staggering 25% of annual GDP growth in 2025, and is expanding at a pace that is multiples of forecasted real GDP growth. This immense scale requires trillions of dollars of investment that will ripple through physical markets, directly impacting real estate, construction, power and electricity generation, and industrial metals. The firm argues this dynamic is catalyzing a multiyear period in which “investment dominates consumption as the growth driver amid economic rebalancing.”

About those humans

While this infrastructure build-out is a boon for industrial metrics, the outlook for humans is markedly less rosy. Morgan Stanley warns of “transformational risks to the labor market” brought on by the gen AI diffusion.

The report describes prospects for the U.S. consumer as ultimately “unremarkable,” weighed down by “depressed sentiment, job anxiety, a low 3.6% savings rate, and rising indebtedness and credit delinquencies.” Furthermore, the firm predicts consumption growth will likely stall owing to a lackluster job market, aging demographics, and slow population growth, leaving the populace trapped within “K-shaped economic dynamics” that exacerbate inequality, referencing the meme over the past five years that leaped from finance Twitter and into reality, with the wealthy and working class representing branching lines on the “K,” rather than a “V-shaped” or “U-shaped” financial recovery.

Interestingly, this new paradigm is also forcing a harsh reality check on tech titans. For years, U.S. indexes have been dominated by “asset-light, recurring-revenue tech business models” that enjoyed near-zero marginal costs and ever-expanding margins. However, the gen AI revolution is fundamentally different. It is a “cash-hungry R&D arms race” with marginal-cost economics, meaning as tech companies add subscribers, they must simultaneously spend vastly more on precious “compute” capacity.

Consequently, these former asset-light darlings are transforming into “capital-intensive, cash-flow-hungry businesses.” Morgan Stanley bluntly states that for these hyperscalers, “the era of multiple expansion based on seemingly ever-expanding profit margins is likely over.”

Bank of America Research chief equity strategist Savita Subramanian has sounded similar alarms about tech’s move away from an asset-light model, while Silicon Valley executives are waking up to the fact AI may have ended the tech industry’s profit gravy train, and even automated most coding work.

Ultimately, Morgan Stanley’s vision of 2026 and beyond is one of profound economic realignment. The gen AI revolution may not be delivering a consumer utopia, but it is fueling a global, capex-driven infrastructure boom. It is an era in which heavy machinery, power grids, and data centers reign supreme, fundamentally suggesting that, at least for now, the AI boom is far better for computers than it is for humans.

For this story, Fortune journalists used generative AI as a research tool. An editor verified the accuracy of the information before publishing.

The Fortune 500 Innovation Forum will convene Fortune 500 executives, U.S. policy officials, top founders, and thought leaders to help define what’s next for the American economy, Nov. 16-17 in Detroit. Apply here.
About the Author
Nick Lichtenberg
By Nick LichtenbergBusiness Editor
LinkedIn icon

Nick Lichtenberg is business editor and was formerly Fortune's executive editor of global news.

See full bioRight Arrow Button Icon

Latest in Investing

Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025

Most Popular

Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Fortune Secondary Logo
Rankings
  • 100 Best Companies
  • Fortune 500
  • Global 500
  • Fortune 500 Europe
  • Most Powerful Women
  • World's Most Admired Companies
  • See All Rankings
  • Lists Calendar
Sections
  • Finance
  • Fortune Crypto
  • Features
  • Leadership
  • Health
  • Commentary
  • Success
  • Retail
  • Mpw
  • Tech
  • Lifestyle
  • CEO Initiative
  • Asia
  • Politics
  • Conferences
  • Europe
  • Newsletters
  • Personal Finance
  • Environment
  • Magazine
  • Education
Customer Support
  • Frequently Asked Questions
  • Customer Service Portal
  • Privacy Policy
  • Terms Of Use
  • Single Issues For Purchase
  • International Print
Commercial Services
  • Advertising
  • Fortune Brand Studio
  • Fortune Analytics
  • Fortune Conferences
  • Business Development
  • Group Subscriptions
About Us
  • About Us
  • Press Center
  • Work At Fortune
  • Terms And Conditions
  • Site Map
  • About Us
  • Press Center
  • Work At Fortune
  • Terms And Conditions
  • Site Map
  • Facebook icon
  • Twitter icon
  • LinkedIn icon
  • Instagram icon
  • Pinterest icon

Latest in Investing

grantham
Big TechMarkets
‘Blood in the streets’: Legendary investor Jeremy Grantham pulls back the curtain on the AI wars to reveal a ‘brutal, competitive world’
By Nick LichtenbergMay 19, 2026
43 minutes ago
Top CD rates from major banks May 19, 2026: Chase CDs, Bank of America CDs, Citibank CDs, and more
Personal FinanceCertificates of Deposit (CDs)
Top CD rates from major banks on May 19, 2026: Chase CDs, Bank of America CDs, Citibank CDs, and more
By Joseph HostetlerMay 19, 2026
2 hours ago
Current price of Bitcoin for May 19, 2026
Personal FinanceCryptocurrency
Current price of Bitcoin for May 19, 2026
By Joseph HostetlerMay 19, 2026
3 hours ago
Current price of Ethereum for May 19, 2026
Personal FinanceEthereum
Current price of Ethereum for May 19, 2026
By Joseph HostetlerMay 19, 2026
3 hours ago
Don’t hold your breath for the great AI job reshuffle, says Goldman Sachs—there’s little evidence of ‘too many coders and not enough plumbers’
InvestingMarkets
Don’t hold your breath for the great AI job reshuffle, says Goldman Sachs—there’s little evidence of ‘too many coders and not enough plumbers’
By Eleanor PringleMay 19, 2026
6 hours ago
Travelers walk past an Alibaba Cloud advertisement in China
AITerm Sheet
DeepSeek and China’s AI boom are increasingly powered by state money
By Lily Mae LazarusMay 19, 2026
7 hours ago

Most Popular

While Trump insisted the Iran war would end ‘soon,’ an account in his name was buying millions in oil, defense and gold
Economy
While Trump insisted the Iran war would end ‘soon,’ an account in his name was buying millions in oil, defense and gold
By Eva RoytburgMay 18, 2026
22 hours ago
The Bezos family just donated $100 million to help achieve one of Mayor Zohran Mamdani’s top campaign promises
Politics
The Bezos family just donated $100 million to help achieve one of Mayor Zohran Mamdani’s top campaign promises
By Jake AngeloMay 12, 2026
7 days ago
Current price of oil as of May 18, 2026
Personal Finance
Current price of oil as of May 18, 2026
By Joseph HostetlerMay 18, 2026
1 day ago
EXCLUSIVE: An hour in the Oval Office with the CEO-in-Chief, President Trump
Politics
EXCLUSIVE: An hour in the Oval Office with the CEO-in-Chief, President Trump
By Alyson ShontellMay 18, 2026
1 day ago
Spirit Airlines apologizes to all the Americans who can't afford any summer vacation flights as it shuts down
Travel & Leisure
Spirit Airlines apologizes to all the Americans who can't afford any summer vacation flights as it shuts down
By Rio Yamat and The Associated PressMay 18, 2026
1 day ago
Current price of silver as of Monday, May 18, 2026
Personal Finance
Current price of silver as of Monday, May 18, 2026
By Joseph HostetlerMay 18, 2026
1 day ago

© 2026 Fortune Media IP Limited. All Rights Reserved. Use of this site constitutes acceptance of our Terms of Use and Privacy Policy | CA Notice at Collection and Privacy Notice | Do Not Sell/Share My Personal Information
FORTUNE is a trademark of Fortune Media IP Limited, registered in the U.S. and other countries. FORTUNE may receive compensation for some links to products and services on this website. Offers may be subject to change without notice.