• Home
  • Latest
  • Fortune 500
  • Finance
  • Tech
  • Leadership
  • Lifestyle
  • Rankings
  • Multimedia

Trendingnow

1

Microsoft AI chief gives it 18 months—for all white-collar work to be automated by AI

2

Former top Russian official admits the country is over Putin and can 'imagine a future without him' — even elites bail as Kremlin seizes their assets 

3

The Bezos family just donated $100 million to help achieve one of Mayor Zohran Mamdani’s top campaign promises

1

Microsoft AI chief gives it 18 months—for all white-collar work to be automated by AI

2

Former top Russian official admits the country is over Putin and can 'imagine a future without him' — even elites bail as Kremlin seizes their assets 

3

The Bezos family just donated $100 million to help achieve one of Mayor Zohran Mamdani’s top campaign promises

How Tim Geithner can dodge the next debt crisis

By
Allan Sloan
Allan Sloan
Down Arrow Button Icon
By
Allan Sloan
Allan Sloan
Down Arrow Button Icon
November 14, 2012, 10:00 AM ET

Treasury Secretary Tim Geithner

FORTUNE — Dear Mr. Secretary:

I know that even though President Obama has been reelected, you are planning to leave the Treasury. So I’d like to offer you a goodbye gift. It’s not money or a prestigious seven-digit-a-year gig. It’s a way to avoid having the government blackmailed because our national debt ($16.206 trillion the last time I checked) is approaching the national debt ceiling ($16.394 trillion) and will breach it in December.

You remember the debt-ceiling debacle in August 2011, when the Treasury came within a whisker of defaulting on its obligations because of the antigovernment, innumerate fanatics in the House of Representatives. For all the post-election talk of cooperating to solve the “fiscal cliff” problem — much of which stems from last year’s debt-ceiling gamesmanship — the same fanatics are still in power in the House. These are the people who so enraged me that I left the Republican Party, as I said I would in the rant I wrote for Fortune’s Sept. 5, 2011, cover story, titled “American Idiots.”

MORE: 
Let’s jump off the fiscal cliff

Look, I hate the fiscal path that our country is on. I hated it under George W. Bush, and I hate it under Barack Obama. The solution is obvious, along the lines that my colleague Geoff Colvin and I proposed in September 2012: broadening the tax base so that we can lower rates while increasing tax revenue; treating income from capital and work the same way; and trimming the growth of entitlement programs such as Social Security and Medicare, especially for people like me who are well off. Much of this has become the conventional wisdom in Washington — and it’s actually wise.

But having a crisis about the federal government’s ability to pay its bills is unwise. It won’t resolve our fiscal problems. All it will do is make people on both sides of the divide even more frustrated and angry than they already are.

So here’s my unsolicited and probably unwelcome advice. Rather than risk breaching the debt ceiling in December and having the government run out of cash in January, think like a smart Wall Street deal guy instead of a cabinet secretary. (Yes, Wall Street has a bad rep these days, most of it deserved. But so what? If Wall Street has something useful to offer, use it.)

Okay, now here’s what I propose: Make a private deal with a central bank of a country that has huge holdings of Treasury securities (for instance, China) and doesn’t dare risk having a default on the interest or principal due on its holdings. Let’s borrow $200 billion by doing this, giving our lender a 10-year security that the Treasury can redeem early if it chooses to. While Congress is playing its destructive game of chicken, you can keep the government functioning and be the hero who helped us avoid an economic calamity. The Treasury will have to pay an above-market interest rate on this borrowing. But you can score points — well-deserved ones — by blaming House obstructionists for the added taxpayer expense.

MORE: 
Obama will tax the rich more

Would lawyers bless this maneuver? Who knows? But if you don’t ask them, they can’t say no. You’ll be playing offense instead of defense with John Boehner and his crew. Even if they run shrieking to the Supreme Court to reverse the deal, do you think the Supremes’ majority, who made the political decision to uphold the major elements of Obamacare (a.k.a. the Affordable Care Act), would force the Treasury into a debt default? I doubt it. You or your successor can repeat this private-placement maneuver as often as necessary to keep the government’s ability to pay its bills intact.

I hope that a compromise is reached quickly and that my suggestion proves to be moot. But be prepared. And remember, don’t talk about this proposed transaction during debt-ceiling negotiations. Line it up secretly and — as Nike would say — just do it. Normally, I’d ask for a huge fee if the Treasury uses my somewhat outré idea. But as my contribution to the public fisc, I’ll settle for a shout-out. Call this the Sloan Stratagem, and I promise not to bill you.

And on that note, all the best on your new gig, whatever it proves to be.

This story is from the December 3, 2012 issue of Fortune. 

About the Author
By Allan Sloan
See full bioRight Arrow Button Icon

Latest in

Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025

Most Popular

Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Fortune Secondary Logo
Rankings
  • 100 Best Companies
  • Fortune 500
  • Global 500
  • Fortune 500 Europe
  • Most Powerful Women
  • World's Most Admired Companies
  • See All Rankings
  • Lists Calendar
Sections
  • Finance
  • Fortune Crypto
  • Features
  • Leadership
  • Health
  • Commentary
  • Success
  • Retail
  • Mpw
  • Tech
  • Lifestyle
  • CEO Initiative
  • Asia
  • Politics
  • Conferences
  • Europe
  • Newsletters
  • Personal Finance
  • Environment
  • Magazine
  • Education
Customer Support
  • Frequently Asked Questions
  • Customer Service Portal
  • Privacy Policy
  • Terms Of Use
  • Single Issues For Purchase
  • International Print
Commercial Services
  • Advertising
  • Fortune Brand Studio
  • Fortune Analytics
  • Fortune Conferences
  • Business Development
  • Group Subscriptions
About Us
  • About Us
  • Press Center
  • Work At Fortune
  • Terms And Conditions
  • Site Map
  • About Us
  • Press Center
  • Work At Fortune
  • Terms And Conditions
  • Site Map
  • Facebook icon
  • Twitter icon
  • LinkedIn icon
  • Instagram icon
  • Pinterest icon

Latest in

U.S. says China to buy $17 billion of agricultural goods annually
EconomyChina
U.S. says China to buy $17 billion of agricultural goods annually
By Yash Roy and BloombergMay 17, 2026
2 hours ago
Taiwan’s president says the U.S. arms sales that Trump called a bargaining chip with China are ‘the most important deterrent’ of regional conflict
AsiaChina
Taiwan’s president says the U.S. arms sales that Trump called a bargaining chip with China are ‘the most important deterrent’ of regional conflict
By The Associated PressMay 17, 2026
2 hours ago
WHO declares latest Ebola outbreak a global health emergency. A rare variant of the disease with no approved treatments is to blame
HealthHealth
WHO declares latest Ebola outbreak a global health emergency. A rare variant of the disease with no approved treatments is to blame
By Chinedu Asadu and The Associated PressMay 17, 2026
2 hours ago
The top foreign holders of U.S. debt may soon dump Treasury bonds and bring their money back home, potentially spiking borrowing costs
EconomyDebt
The top foreign holders of U.S. debt may soon dump Treasury bonds and bring their money back home, potentially spiking borrowing costs
By Jason MaMay 17, 2026
3 hours ago
BlackRock private credit fund’s valuations are probed by DOJ
InvestingDepartment of Justice
BlackRock private credit fund’s valuations are probed by DOJ
By Olivia Fishlow, Ava Benny-Morrison and BloombergMay 17, 2026
4 hours ago
Ukraine brings the war to Moscow with one its largest drone attacks on the capital, adding to the ‘darkening cloud of anxiety over Russia’
EuropeRussia
Ukraine brings the war to Moscow with one its largest drone attacks on the capital, adding to the ‘darkening cloud of anxiety over Russia’
By Samya Kullab and The Associated PressMay 17, 2026
5 hours ago

Most Popular

Microsoft AI chief gives it 18 months—for all white-collar work to be automated by AI
AI
Microsoft AI chief gives it 18 months—for all white-collar work to be automated by AI
By Jake AngeloMay 16, 2026
1 day ago
Former top Russian official admits the country is over Putin and can 'imagine a future without him' — even elites bail as Kremlin seizes their assets 
Politics
Former top Russian official admits the country is over Putin and can 'imagine a future without him' — even elites bail as Kremlin seizes their assets 
By Jason MaMay 16, 2026
22 hours ago
The Bezos family just donated $100 million to help achieve one of Mayor Zohran Mamdani’s top campaign promises
Politics
The Bezos family just donated $100 million to help achieve one of Mayor Zohran Mamdani’s top campaign promises
By Jake AngeloMay 12, 2026
5 days ago
SpaceX heads into a record-shattering IPO with the 'deepest moat that exists today' as investors vow to 'never bet against Elon'
Innovation
SpaceX heads into a record-shattering IPO with the 'deepest moat that exists today' as investors vow to 'never bet against Elon'
By Jason MaMay 16, 2026
1 day ago
Oil markets could be a month away from the moment of truth. Brace for a 'non-linear' price spike and panic buying, analysts warn
Energy
Oil markets could be a month away from the moment of truth. Brace for a 'non-linear' price spike and panic buying, analysts warn
By Jason MaMay 16, 2026
1 day ago
Meet the 20-year-old CEO who launched a company in high school to solve Gen Z's entry-level job crisis
Future of Work
Meet the 20-year-old CEO who launched a company in high school to solve Gen Z's entry-level job crisis
By Jake AngeloMay 16, 2026
1 day ago

© 2026 Fortune Media IP Limited. All Rights Reserved. Use of this site constitutes acceptance of our Terms of Use and Privacy Policy | CA Notice at Collection and Privacy Notice | Do Not Sell/Share My Personal Information
FORTUNE is a trademark of Fortune Media IP Limited, registered in the U.S. and other countries. FORTUNE may receive compensation for some links to products and services on this website. Offers may be subject to change without notice.